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QNS - Sugar business leads earnings to beat our expectations – Earnings Flash

Company Research

26 Jul 2024

  • QNS released its H1 2024 results with revenue of VND5.3tn (USD210mn; +1% YoY) and NPAT-MI of VND1.2tn (USD48mn; +19% YoY), completing 52% and 58% of our respective full-year forecasts. Revenue was in line with our forecast while earnings tracked ahead of our expectations due to strong sugar profitability. We see upside potential to our current projections, pending a fuller review.
  • In H1 2024, sugar revenue declined 2% YoY driven by the decrease in sugar volume of 11% YoY, but the segment’s GPM expanded 6.9 ppts YoY as sugar prices remained at a high level (+10% YoY). Additionally, soy milk revenue was flat YoY, but GPM declined 2 ppts YoY due to an increase of 7% in COGS in H1 2024. Other businesses, with the biomass business as the main contributor, recorded robust gross profit growth due to solid sugarcane bagasse input from the sugar segment. 
  • QNS’s EBIT margin expanded 3.4 ppts YoY in H1 2024 due to (1) strong profitability of the sugar segment and (2) effective cost management as SG&A/sales declined 2.2 ppts YoY.

QNS’s Q2 and H1 2024 results

 VND bn

Q2 2023

Q2 2024

YoY

QoQ

H1 2023

H1 2024

YoY

H1 2024 as % of Vietcap's 2024F

Revenue

3,152

2,820

-11%

12%

5,282

5,343

1%

52%

Soy milk

1,161 

1,185

2%

50%

1,978 

1,974

0%

46%

Sugar

1,473 

1,060

-28%

-6%

2,220 

2,184

-2%

55%

Others(1)

518 

576

11%

-5%

1,084 

1,185

9%

58%

Gross profit

997 

984

-1%

22%

1,593 

1,792

13%

53%

Soy milk

473 

450

-5%

46%

800 

759

-5%

42%

Sugar

383 

367

-4%

13%

551 

692

26%

66%

Others(1)

141 

166

18%

-5%

242 

341

41%

70%

Operating profit

747 

722

-3%

34%

1,069 

1,261

18%

59%

Non-operating profit

50 

42

-17%

4%

84 

82

-3%

26%

PBT

797 

764

-4%

32%

1,154 

1,344

16%

55%

NPAT-MI

712 

690 

-3%

30%

1,028 

1,222 

19%

58%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

GPM

31.6%

34.9%

 

 

30.2%

33.5%

 

 

Soy milk 

40.7%

38.0%

 

 

40.5%

38.4%

 

 

Sugar 

26.0%

34.7%

 

 

24.8%

31.7%

 

 

EBIT margin

23.7%

25.6%

 

 

20.2%

23.6%

 

 

NPM

22.6%

24.5%

 

 

19.5%

22.9%

 

 

Source: QNS, Vietcap

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